The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OCDE) has revised upward Spain's growth forecasts for last year. Economic Outlook. Evaluation of the organism Bruto Producto Interior (GDP) is over 3% in 2024, dos décimas more than the previous estimate y un avance significant frente al average del 0.8% previsto para la zona euro.
By 2025, worth 2.3%Consolidating Spain's position as one of the best performing economies in Europe. It is capped at 2% of PIB in 2026.
The inspection gives a positive answer robusto labor market and impulsado for the recovery of inflation, regardless of inflation. According to the OECD, these factors have enabled Spain rate of growth ahead of other developed economiesAlemania y Francia, que recovery más lenta.
La moderation of inflation It was the main factor in these predictions. According to the OECD, this is the inflation rate Spain will decrease to 2.8% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025to comply with Banco Central Europeo's objectives; de hecho, ya sería del 2% en 2026. This reduction, impulsada por la caída en los precios de la energy y los alimentos favors increasing real household incomes, stimulating private consumption and improving consumer confidence.
An optimism, OCDE señala riesgos relevant It could affect the economic prospects of Spain and the world. Entre ellos, menciona el To avoid exposure to commercial advertising he is ignorant of geopolitics. Además, al-alto nivel de Public debt sigue siendo Too much países for una concernincluding Spain.
According to sus previsions, In 2024, the government deficit is expected to decrease to 3% of GDP By 2025 (2.5%), in 2026 (2.1%), “Accumulation of 0.7% of PIB consolidation by 2025 to 2026, continue with the medium fiscal plan . plaza del Gobierno”. According to the report, the forecasts “parten del supuesto de que el crecimiento del gasto public será contenido”, en tanto que las anticrisis medias puestas puestas en March en March en 2022 terminarán este curso.
La public debtin turn, it will close the year at 103.5% and will decrease to 102.8% in 2025 and 101.9% in 2026.
European press
About him Budget impact of DANA y las aydas puestas en marcha por el EjecutivoThe OCDE indicates that it is still “uncertain” and that it will ultimately depend on the amount of aid requested and its payment schedule.
On the other hand, The unemployment rate will not decrease in the next two-digit yearstenor del brain center from developed countries. In fact, The unemployment rate will close the current rate at 11.5%. y se moderatá 10.9% y 10.5% en los dos siguientes ejercicios.
In this context, the body recommends that Spain implement structural reforms to ensure sustainability. Entre las priorities, suggests tools for continuing care laboratories for sectors, high productivity y inforcer la investment and technology and education. These steps would be the basis for maintaining and countering the country's competitiveness in the medium term Problems arising from the aging of the population y la transition energetica.
The recovery in global trade is also key to Spain's performance, particularly in sectors such as tourism and services, which have shown a marked recovery since the pandemic. However, The OCDE advises that consumer confidence is fragilewhich may limit the growth rate of domestic consumption in the future.
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