El triunfo de Donald Trump In the presidential elections held this Tuesday, November 5, this was reinforced in improving results across the country and, in particular, in the “reconquest”. swing situations he estados hinge en los que se impuso el Presidente saliente, Joe Biden, 2020.
El magnate republic was re-edited in 2016 jumpsuit “Muro Azul” democrat and saltar Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, “cinturón del oxide” ()rust beltin English) and reconquistar el Estado sureño de Georgia, donde perdió hace cuatro años por menos de 12,000 votos.
In the states of Arizona and Nevada, respectively, against Trump, a rival Democrat has an advantage of about one percent. Kamala HarrisThe results of Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania provide a clear picture of the reasons for the victory of the Republican leader.
Vote Trump rural impulse in Georgia
Georgia, a southern and traditionally conservative state, was at the center of controversy in the 2020 presidential election. “encontrar” los votos que le segurarían la victoria en el estado. Therefore, Trump has loaded his baggage Process related to election interference in Georgia.
Mobilization of progressive voters of the African-American community, which constitutes 31% of the population of Georgia, and the surrounding regions of its capital, AtlantaDiron el triunfo a Biden 2020, convirtiendo en el prima mócrata en ganar en el “Peach State” (estado melocotón) Ever since Bill Clinton did it in 1992. Georgia flipped Republican this Tuesday, putting Trump at 50.7% – 1.5 points higher than in 2020, compared to Harris at 48.5%.
Democrats won the city of Atlanta and most counties in its metropolitan area by large margins, in some cases bettering Biden's results in 2020. For example, Harris Henry won 30 points in al sureste de Atlanta County, increasing his advantage by 9.2 points compared to the previous election. The Democratic vice president also won in all cities with a population of more than 100,000 – Augusta, Columbus, Savannah, Macon and Athens.
Republicans offset Democratic gains in the Atlanta suburbs with big gains in the rest of the territory, topping 2020 results in 85% of precincts, giving them 16 of Georgia's electoral votes. Indeed, Trump forced Harris for Biden's three Baldwin has a 40% African American population in the United States.
Trump attacked Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes make this Midwestern state the most valuable state in the presidential race. A Democratic bastion from the decade of the 1990s until Trump's disruption in 2016, Biden has won progressive power for 1.2 years in the 2020 presidency.
Pennsylvania was the state where more acts interfered with presidential tandems during the campaign. The New York Timesy cuenta con un valor simbólico para los mócratas: President who was born Biden and his governor, Josh Sapirohe sounded like Kamala Harris's running mate for president, a position held by Minnesota Governor Tim Waltz.
Finally, Pennsylvania acabó siendo el A crucial area for the republic of VictoriaDonald Trump's victory in this state with 50.5% of the vote was confirmed, adding to his victories in North Carolina and Georgia. Acabó about Harris's presidential aspirationsque se quedó en el 48.6% de los suffragios.
The Democratic candidate implemented Trump in two of the most populous cities in the state. Philadelphia y Pittsburghmainstream Democrats are the primary choice for African-Americans, Latinos, and universities. Thank you very much Lower margins than Biden in 2020 ahead of the overall advance of his Republican challenger, who won five of the 13 counties the incumbent applied for four years ago.
Entre Los Territorios que Veraron Hacia los Republicanos se encuentra el condato de dollarsrepresents the bulk of the white population at the state university. Likewise, in Lackawanna County, home to Biden's hometown of Scranton, which has a high percentage of white working-class voters, it narrowed the Democratic lead to three points.
Surprise Republican in Michigan and Wisconsin
The states of Michigan and Wisconsin, according to previous elections, were los Convenient for Kamala Harris. El portal Five thirty eight In his last pre-election forecast, he gave a 61% and 59% probability of the Democratic candidate winning in these states, respectively.
Finally, los dos estados del “cinturón del oxide” acabaron cayendo del lado republic. Trump He won 49.8% of the vote in Michigan to 48.3% of the Democratic candidates and in Wisconsin to 49.7% to Harris' 48.8%.
The hand Wayne CountyHarris, which includes Michigan's most populous state and part of the most populous city of Detroit, won by 29 points against Trump, down from 9.2 points in 2020. mayor interest de árabes americanos This represents 8% población. This traditionally democratic population group has distanced itself from this party because of its stance on the Gaza war.
El retroceso démócrata spread to the rest of the metropolitan area Detroit and of the state except northwestern Michigan. The Democratic vote in Leelanau County is up 7.6 points from 2020.
In Wisconsin, Democrats won strong victories in the most populous city. Milwaukeecon un elevado interest de población afroamericana, y en su capital, MadisonSelected according to University of Wisconsin results and progress. By 2020, the downtown Democrat had fallen.
Los suburbs of Milwaukee, conocidos como condados WOW (Waukesha, Ozaukee, and Washington), traditionally Republican and slightly leaning Democratic in 2020, maintained that trend and allowed Harris to improve on Biden's previous record. In the rest of the state, mostly in rural areas, the vote for Trump was the impulsado that allowed him to recover. Sauk CountyOne of two Wisconsin territories that supported Republicans in 2016 and Biden in 2020.
Biden's unpopularity is an insurmountable obstacle
John su triunfo electoral, Trump se convertivo en el Segundo Presidente de Estados Unidos que vuelve a ganar unas ecciones tras caer defeatedadoA feat accomplished by Democrat Grover Cleveland alone in 1892. Concerns among voters in key states about economic conditions and the effects of inflation han impulsado a los republicanos y han allowed Trump to reconnect with suburban and rural voters.
Eto se ha unido al auge del voto republicano entre los latinosDemocratic voter dissatisfaction and Joe Biden's unpopularity, al que, según portal Five thirty eight56.3% are auditable and 38.5% are required. That puts the Democrat at the top of the mandate as the most unpopular president, tied with George HW Bush, who lost re-election in 1992 when he was unpopular with Bill Clinton by the same percentage.
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