El Sinn Féin is leading in the Irish election, unos muy resultsados ​​​​ajustados, according to the expected poll

El izquierdista Sinn Féin say Mary Lou McDonald It won 21.1 percent of the vote in Ireland's general election this Friday. Beautiful Gael of the prime minister Simon Harrisy el 19.5% del centrista Fianna Fáil say Michael Martinsegún una encuesta ir pasta de urna.

The poll, published by public channel RTE, confirmed a tie for the three main coalitions, opening the possibility that the centrists and Christian Democrats will reshuffle the government's historic coalition of the past four years, which also includes the Greens. gets 4%.

El recuento comenzerá este sábado And the first provisional results could be known later in the day, which will give an idea of ​​the number of seats parties will win based on the transfer of votes between candidates, as allowed by Ireland's complex electoral system.

Harris warned today that there are “some exciting days ahead”, then he reminded that the aforementioned poll may target the party with the most votes, which does not necessarily mean it will win more seats in the Dáil. ), consists of 174. deputies.

This is what happened to Sinn Féin and opposition leader Mary Lou Macdonald, who won the popular vote in 2020 but remained in Fianna Fáil's seat after the election. transfer of voting rights.

The nationalist leader's failure to form a government led to a historic coalition between the centrists and the democrats, rivals from the civil war (1922-1923), who have shared power ever since.

“Compare with the British system. Change Big Ben in 10 years. Sky News says quién ha ganado. Our system is different,” he said taoiseach (Prime Minister) is the Prime Minister of Wicklow, a city in Dublin.

Empath technique

Recent polls have put the three parties at about 20% support, a technical tie due to the decline in popularity of Harris – until recently the favorite – the recovery of McDonald and the stability of Deputy Prime Minister Martin, and taoiseach Between 2020 and 2022.

Therefore, Martin announced it “cautamente optimista” He may even be a democratic, international, favorite, given that he is the most popular candidate when transferring votes from other parties and candidates.

For his part, McDonald also highlighted his “optimism, hope, confidence and ambition” to become the first behind-the-scenes leader of Sinn Féin to power in Dublin. acabar con la hegemony de los dos grandes partidos.

“Este es el momento en el que la gente puede realente dar forma al próximo Gobierno, y necesitamos un nuevo Gobierno”, the nationalist leader added.

A contract is binding

Con tanta igualdad, los tres partidos estará obligados a buscar pactos entre ellos y/o con otras fuerzas minoritarias, en tanto que Harris y Martin se han show a favor. reeditar, si lo necessitasen, el pacto de la passada legislatureen el que entraron los Verdes, al tiempo que ya han hand Sinn Féin.

The three leaders can also look at the bloc of independents, who got 14.6% of the vote, while combinations like the Labor Party and the Social Democrats got 5 and 5.8% of the vote, respectively, and are postulated as possible.

Observers say Martin and Harris are likely to reunite, although their seat numbers will determine who leads the negotiations and who is new. taoiseachun load que podría volver and rotatorio.

During the campaign, Christian Democrats and centrists emphasized the good progress of the country economy y wanted a vote to preserve financial stability in a prosperous country, but was affected by a grave housing crisisdeteriorating public services and increased immigration.

For its part, Sinn Féin has brought these issues to the center of its program to try to repeat its electoral success five years ago, now adding a plan to hold a referendum on Irish reunification by 2030.